Introduction
In this article, we will use a statistical approach to predict the outcome of the upcoming New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech football game. We will consider a variety of factors, including both teams' recent performance, their head-to-head history, and the overall strength of their respective conferences.
Recent Performance
New Mexico State is coming off a 2-10 season in 2022, while Louisiana Tech finished with a 3-9 record. Both teams struggled on offense last year, with New Mexico State averaging just 16.9 points per game and Louisiana Tech averaging 20.5 points per game.
Head-to-Head History
New Mexico State and Louisiana Tech have met 10 times on the football field, with Louisiana Tech holding a 6-4 advantage in the series. However, New Mexico State has won the last two meetings, including a 36-29 victory in 2021.
Conference Strength
New Mexico State plays in the Sun Belt Conference, while Louisiana Tech plays in the Conference USA. According to the Sagarin Ratings, the Sun Belt Conference is ranked 11th in the country, while Conference USA is ranked 14th.
Statistical Analysis
We can use a variety of statistical models to predict the outcome of a football game. One common model is the point spread, which is the number of points that one team is favored to win by. According to the point spread, Louisiana Tech is favored to win by 3.5 points.
Another common model is the win probability, which is the probability that a team will win a game. According to the win probability, Louisiana Tech has a 61.7% chance of winning, while New Mexico State has a 38.3% chance of winning.
Tips and Tricks
Here are a few tips and tricks for betting on the New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech game:
Common Mistakes to Avoid
Here are a few common mistakes to avoid when betting on the New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech game:
Conclusion
The New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech game is a tough one to predict. Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, and the game could go either way. However, based on our statistical analysis, we believe that Louisiana Tech is the slight favorite to win.
Team | Record | Points Per Game | Yards Per Game |
---|---|---|---|
New Mexico State | 2-10 | 16.9 | 302.3 |
Louisiana Tech | 3-9 | 20.5 | 334.1 |
Year | Winner | Score |
---|---|---|
2021 | New Mexico State | 36-29 |
2020 | Louisiana Tech | 27-20 |
2019 | Louisiana Tech | 31-24 |
2018 | New Mexico State | 30-21 |
2017 | Louisiana Tech | 30-26 |
Conference | Sagarin Rating |
---|---|
Sun Belt Conference | 11 |
Conference USA | 14 |
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